Размышления женщины о геополитике. Татьяна Александровна Югай

годы россияне пережили девальвацию рубля, падение цен на нефть, инфляцию, взаимные санкции и так далее. Мы вряд ли пойдем на баррикады из-за западных уток.

      On April 5, 2016, the leading Munich daily Süddeutsche Zeitung (SZ) published a «sensational» article titled: «Panama Papers: The secrets of dirty money». The on-line version is presented in the best traditions of yellow press.

      The article begins like a fairy tale: «Over a year ago, an anonymous source contacted the Süddeutsche Zeitung (SZ) with encrypted documents from Mossack Fonseca, a Panamanian law firm that sells anonymous offshore companies around the world»97.

      The mysterious messenger delivered megatons of compromising information while seeking no financial compensation. He simply «wanted to make these crimes public». Frankly speaking, I’d bet that some special services were hiding behind this modern Robin Hood. In order to make the story more credible, the SZ added a video with a sort of «script» of the messenger’s call. Then it describes how SZ journalists worked for 12 months with the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ).

      In order to justify a rather dubious source of information, the SZ emphasizes the dimension of the leaks. «The Panama Papers include approximately 11.5 million documents. The data primarily comprises e-mails, pdf files, photo files, and excerpts of an internal Mossack Fonseca database, covering a period from the 1970s to the spring of 2016».

      The paper boastfully compares the size of its leak with previous scandalous leaks, namely, Offshore Leaks, Lux, and Swiss Leaks. I teach finance and studied these cases in-depth in order to tell about them my students. Offshore Leaks (April, 2013) revealed details of 130,000 offshore accounts. LuxLeaks (November, 2014) disclosed tax avoidance schemes used by international firms registered in Luxembourg. Swiss Leaks (February, 2015) were concerned with a giant tax evasion scheme by the British multinational bank HSBC via its Swiss subsidiary HSBC Private Bank (Suisse).

      All these leaks had an explicitly political character, labeled as a noble struggle against the evil of offshore companies. Yet the struggle is very selective. It’s no secret that U.S. multinationals such as Apple, Google, Starbucks etc. are the biggest tax evaders, using offshore schemes. However, Offshore Leaks were focused on firms and persons from the ex-USSR and China. Apart from negative publicity for some minor political figures, that did not seriously hurt anybody of the mentioned persons. Maybe they were preparing the ground for new revelations.

      LuxLeaks implicated Jean-Claude Juncker, former Prime Minister of Luxembourg and just elected President of the European Commission. One may wonder, why a person with a tarnished reputation would become the head of an important European entity. Taking into account Luxleaks’ perfect timing (not before, but after the elections), the answer is obvious. A compromised top international official would be more docile, particularly, in difficult talks on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership. Probably only Swiss Leaks, which were aimed at cracking down on HSBC were commercially motivated.

      While running a big cover picture with Putin and Assad, Süddeutsche Zeitung did not give names. The Guardian goes further, pointing the finger at Putin. The on-line version has a video «How to Hide a Billion Dollars» with Putin on the cover.

      The Guardian writes: «Twelve national leaders are among 143 politicians, their families and close associates from around the world known to have been using offshore tax havens. A 2 billion dollar trail leads all the way to Vladimir Putin. The Russian president’s best friend – a cellist called Sergei Roldugin – is at the centre of a scheme in which money from Russian state banks is hidden offshore. Some of it ends up in a ski resort where in 2013 Putin’s daughter Katerina got married»98.

      Among other leaders with offshore wealth are Nawaz Sharif, Pakistan’s prime minister; Ayad Allawi, ex-interim prime minister and former vice-president of Iraq; Petro Poroshenko, president of Ukraine; Alaa Mubarak, son of Egypt’s former president; and the prime minister of Iceland, Sigmundur Davíð Gunnlaugsson.

      Six members of the House of Lords, three former Conservative MPs and dozens of donors to UK political parties own offshore assets. Families of at least eight current and former members of China’s supreme ruling body, the politburo, have hidden wealth offshore».

      Lately, the mass media have claimed the dubious privilege of bringing a verdict without presenting evidence. Neither the Süddeutsche Zeitung nor The Guardian bothered to publish the alleged documents pointing to Putin or Assad. I am pretty sure there aren’t any, since the main feature of offshore jurisdictions is their secrecy and lack of transparency. Can you imagine a person like Putin or Assad providing their passport data and other personal information?!

      Knowing this weak point, The Guardian fingers a certain Putin «friend» Sergei Roldugin, or rather his brother. Following this fuzzy logic, every citizen of St. Petersburg is Putin’s best friend, starting from Peter the Great.

      The timing of the leaks is perfect: Western leaders cannot afford to applaud the Russian-Syrian victory in Palmyra, so they decided to put a spoon of tar in a barrel of honey, as the Russian proverb says.

      It is clear that the Panama Leaks are part of the West’s hybrid war against Russia.

      I have nothing against international anti-corruption drives, but I strongly object to a selective Orwellian approach. Moreover, one of the favorite methods of hybrid war is to accuse undesirable national leaders of corruption, to inspire civil unrest, which later on develops into a color revolution. A few days ago, RI published an article by Pepe Escobar «Brazil, Like Russia, Under Attack by Hybrid War» about a US-inspired corruption scandal99.

      I can guess that Russia’s fifth column was warned in advance about the information leak and was in full combat gear. Such liberal mass media as Vedomosti, Novaya Gazeta and RBC immediately published the news about the Panama Papers. And on 4 April 2016 at 11:08, the entry about Sergei Roldugin in Wikipedia was updated to include Panama Leaks.

      However, I don’t think that will change the course of the hybrid war against Russia. During last two years, the Russians have survived devaluation of the ruble, a fall in oil prices, inflation, mutual sanctions and so on. We are not likely to go to the barricades over Western gossip.

      2. Двойное зло коррупции

      2.1. «Антикоррупционные» сценарии гибридной войны100

      В предыдущем разделе автор ввел в научный оборот понятие «информационно-финансовые технологии гибридной войны» (ИФТ), которые активно применяют в своей тактике западные страны и, в первую очередь, США. Можно выделить три основных способа применения информационно-финансовых технологий: 1) серия так называемых «Tax Leaks» (налоговые утечки); 2) коррупционные

97

Obermaier, F. et. al. «About the Panama Papers», Süddeutsche Zeitung, 3 Apr 2016. URL: http://panamapapers.sueddeutsche.de/articles/56febff0a1bb8d3c3495adf4/.

98

«The Panama Papers: how the world’s rich and famous hide their money offshore» // The Guardian, 3 Apr 2016.

99

Escobar, P. «Brazil, Like Russia, Under Attack by Hybrid War»// Russia Insider, Mar 30, 2016. URL: https://russia-insider.com/en/politics/brazil-russia-under-attack-hybrid-war/ri13617.

100

Опубликовано в журнале «Вооружение и экономика». №4 (41). 2017. С.59—75.