Stock Trader's Almanac 2021. Jeffrey A. Hirsch

      

      Table of Contents

      1  COVER

      2  TITLE PAGE

      3  COPYRIGHT

      4 INTRODUCTION TO THE FIFTY-FOURTH EDITION2021 OUTLOOK2021 STRATEGY CALENDAR

      5  JANUARY ALMANAC JANUARY’S FIRST FIVE DAYS: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM THE INCREDIBLE JANUARY BAROMETER (DEVISED 1972): ONLY TEN SIGNIFICANT ERRORS IN 70 YEARS JANUARY BAROMETER IN GRAPHIC FORM DOWN JANUARYS: A REMARKABLE RECORD

      6 FEBRUARY ALMANACMARKET BEHAVIOR UNDER NEW PRESIDENTSMARKET CHARTS OF POST–PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION YEARSPOST-ELECTION YEAR PERFORMANCE BY PARTY

      7 MARCH ALMANACPOST-ELECTION YEARS: PAYING THE PIPERTHE DECEMBER LOW INDICATOR: A USEFUL PROGNOSTICATING TOOLHOW TO TRADE BEST MONTHS SWITCHING STRATEGIES

      8 APRIL ALMANACDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1901S&P 500 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1930NASDAQ, RUSSELL 1000 & 2000 ONE-YEAR SEASONAL PATTERN CHARTS SINCE 1971

      9 MAY ALMANACSUMMER MARKET VOLUME DOLDRUMS DRIVE WORST SIX MONTHSTOP PERFORMING MONTHS: STANDARD & POOR’S 500 AND DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS“BEST SIX MONTHS”: STILL AN EYE-POPPING STRATEGYMACD-TIMING TRIPLES “BEST SIX MONTHS” RESULTS

      10 JUNE ALMANACTOP PERFORMING NASDAQ MONTHSGET MORE OUT OF NASDAQ’S “BEST EIGHT MONTHS” WITH MACD TIMINGTRIPLE RETURNS, FEWER TRADES: BEST 6 + 4–YEAR CYCLE

      11 JULY ALMANACFIRST MONTH OF QUARTERS IS THE MOST BULLISH2019 DAILY DOW POINT CHANGES (DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE)DON’T SELL STOCKS ON MONDAY OR FRIDAY

      12 AUGUST ALMANACA RALLY FOR ALL SEASONSTAKE ADVANTAGE OF DOWN FRIDAY/ DOWN MONDAY WARNINGMARKET FARES BETTER UNDER DEMOCRATS; DOLLAR HOLDS UP UNDER REPUBLICANSREPUBLICAN CONGRESS & DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT IS BEST FOR THE MARKET

      13 SEPTEMBER ALMANACMARKET GAINS MORE ON SUPER-8 DAYS EACH MONTH THAN ON ALL 13 REMAINING DAYS COMBINEDA CORRECTION FOR ALL SEASONSFIRST-TRADING-DAY-OF-THE-MONTH PHENOMENON

      14 OCTOBER ALMANACSECTOR SEASONALITY: SELECTED PERCENTAGE PLAYSSECTOR INDEX SEASONALITY STRATEGY CALENDARMARKET BEHAVIOR THREE DAYS BEFORE AND THREE DAYS AFTER HOLIDAYS

      15 NOVEMBER ALMANACFOURTH-QUARTER MARKET MAGICTRADING THE THANKSGIVING MARKETAURA OF THE TRIPLE WITCH—4TH QUARTER MOST BULLISH: DOWN WEEKS TRIGGER MORE WEAKNESS WEEK AFTER

      16 DECEMBER ALMANACMOST OF THE SO-CALLED JANUARY EFFECT TAKES PLACE IN THE LAST HALF OF DECEMBERJANUARY EFFECT NOW STARTS IN MID-DECEMBERWALL STREET’S ONLY “FREE LUNCH” SERVED BEFORE CHRISTMASIF SANTA CLAUS SHOULD FAIL TO CALL, BEARS MAY COME TO BROAD AND WALL2022 STRATEGY CALENDAR

      17 DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANKDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RECENT DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RECENT S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RECENT NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2021DECENNIAL CYCLE: A MARKET PHENOMENONPRESIDENTIAL ELECTION/STOCK MARKET CYCLE: THE 187-YEAR SAGA CONTINUESDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1900STANDARD & POOR’S 500 BULL AND BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1929 NASDAQ COMPOSITE SINCE 1971DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: JANUARY AND FEBRUARYDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: MARCH AND APRILDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: MAY AND JUNEDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: JULY AND AUGUSTDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBERDOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 10-YEAR DAILY POINT CHANGES: NOVEMBER AND DECEMBERA TYPICAL DAY