Выполненная на основе данных всероссийской переписи населения 2010 г. проверка законов Гибрата и Ципфа показала, что территориальное распределение населения в субъектах Приволжского федерального округа им не подчиняется. Во всех субъектах наблюдается существенный перекос в территориальном распределении населения: значительная его часть проживает в столицах, а половина населения субъекта – в нескольких крупных городах (от 1 до 10). При этом отсутствует какое‑либо существенное движение населения из одних субъектов в другие.
В статье предcтавлен оригинальный подход к оценке изменений в уровне жизни в период экономического кризиса, реализованный на основе рекурсивной системы совместных уравнений с использованием многомерной пробит-модели с учетом ненаблюдаемой индивидуальной гетерогенности, смещения из‑за пропущенных переменных и эндогенности. Зависимыми переменными уравнений системы являются двоичные переменные, фиксирующие финансовое поведение домохозяйств, изменения их позиции в распределении доходов, субъективные оценки таких изменений.
В работе выполняется множественное сравнение большого количества моделей GARCH, ARFIMA и HAR-RV семейств на данных по качеству одношагового прогноза реализованной волатильности на один день вперед. Сравнение проводится при помощи MCS теста на 10 российских биржевых активах, включая 8 акций и 2 биржевых индекса. Результаты говорят о явном преимуществе моделей семейства HAR-RV над семействами GARCH и ARFIMA и подтверждают обнаруженные в литературе результаты при сравнении отдельных представителей данных семейств.
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