Risks and the Anthropocene. Julien Rebotier

      

Table of Contents

      1  Cover

      2  Title Page

      3  Copyright

      4  Foreword

      5  Introduction

      6  PART 1: Toward Unprecedented Risks?

      7  1 Coastal Risks: Coastlines Always Under Pressure 1.1. Introduction: environmental risks/natural risks 1.2. Desire for shores and climate change: the increase in coastal risks in the world in the 20th century 1.3. Systemic approach to the vulnerability of coastal territories 1.4. Interests and limits of the Anthropocene moment for thinking about coastal risks 1.5. References

      8  2 Forest Fires in the Anthropocene: Issues of Scale 2.1. Introduction 2.2. The Anthropocene or the resurgence of questions about fire and firefighting 2.3. Fire management in France: a renewed interest 2.4. Fires, climate change and territory: a mobilizing subject? 2.5. Conclusion 2.6. References

      9  3 Urban Climate: Agenda and Perspectives of a Climate Risk 3.1. An internationalized and interdisciplinary research topic 3.2. Making urban climatology knowledge operational: a challenge for action 3.3. Feedback of knowledge from the local to the global 3.4. References

      10  PART 2: Recompositions for the Study and Management of Risks?

      11  4 Permanence and Specificities of Risks and Their Management in the Anthropocene Era 4.1. The Anthropocene, paradox of a new era? 4.2. Restoration of mountain terrain: recompositions of policies centered on the correction of hazards 4.3. Knowing, telling and managing risks: levers and attributes of metropolitan power 4.4. The Anthropocene, an ideological amplifier of responsibility transfers? 4.5. Back to the future: the Anthropocene as a new avatar of “creative destruction”? 4.6. References

      12  5 The International World of Disasters: Beyond Reflexivity, Surpassing Naturalism? 5.1. Introduction 5.2. Localized disasters dealt with internationally 5.3. Disaster science: a naturalistic framework 5.4. Understanding nature in disasters 5.5. Denaturalizing disasters or the arrival of reflexivity 5.6. What framing at the international level? 5.7. Friction between climate and disaster risk reduction framing 5.8. Conclusion 5.9. References

      13  6 The Difficult Birth of the Risk Society and the Relegation of Social Sciences 6.1. Introduction 6.2. The Risk Society, an ambiguous grand narrative 6.3. Contrasting contributions of the social sciences 6.4. Social sciences caught in a world of constraints 6.5. Conclusion 6.6. References

      14  PART 3 What Consequences for a Changing Modernity?

      15  7 Understanding the Political Fabric and Effects of Ensemble Flood Forecasts in Europe 7.1. Introduction 7.2. Modernity and the anticipation of risk 7.3. Numerical weather predictions and the emergence of forecasting the future 7.4. Flood forecasting, ensemble predictions and probabilistic risk management 7.5. The promises and pitfalls of risk-based flood risk management 7.6. Flood risk management in the Anthropocene moment 7.7. References

      16  8 Toward a New Security Deal? Reflexive Modernity, a Complex Turn and Shift to Uncertainty 8.1. Introduction